Fearless

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I have been sick this week.  It started Sunday.  I finally went to the doctor today, Friday, because it wasn’t getting better and I decided it must be a sinus infection, and I wanted antibiotics.

As a precaution they did a test for the H1N1 virus, which involved sticking a long cotton swab up my nose and then dipping it into a test tube.  I may have it backwards, but I think she said, “Red is bad, blue is good.”  I cracked a joke about political orientation and thought nothing of it.

I can’t have the dreaded Swine Flu, I thought.  The media reports that it’s deadly and that you’ll be horribly ill and in the hospital.  What I had, I thought, was a bad cold which turned into a sinus infection.

Well guess what.  I do have the Swine Flu.  I tested positive for H1N1.

And, also, I have a sinus infection.

Because of all the fear mongering going on about this dreaded flu, I have been taking extra vitamins and washing my hands so often you’d think it had become a compulsion.  Maybe because of that, and also maybe because I’d gotten the regular (not H1N1) flu shot, my case is ultra mild.

My lungs are clear.  I never ran a temperature.  Two of the things closely associated with the H1N1 infection didn’t affect me.

What tipped off my doctor’s office that I might have it was the fact that I was having hot and cold flashes, that I was feeling bodily aches and pains (though not severe), and I did have the occasional dry cough.  All my other symptoms were those of the sinus infection.

Because the onset was last Sunday it was too late to give me Tamiflu, and she said the worst of it was already past.  True, because today I feel 80% better than I felt yesterday.  I’m now on antibiotics for the infection, and am cleared to go back to work next Monday.

So as a layman, and not a doctor, here are my generalized recommendations, being that I’ve gone through this:

  1. If you feel sick at all, stay home from work so you don’t spread what may be H1N1.
  2. If you’re an employer, don’t require or expect your employees to work when they’re sick.  Allow them to work from home whenever possible.
  3. Take lots of vitamins as directed by your health advisor.  Well nourished is well prepared for any sickness.
  4. H1N1 doesn’t seem to be that bad a flu, it’s just far easier to catch, and so it spreads to more people.  Any flu can be dangerous if you already have health problems – this one doesn’t appear any more dangerous, except that it’s easier to catch.  So don’t work yourself into a panic about it – the stress of worrying could end up being more dangerous to you than the flu that you’re worrying about.

Personally, I am wondering how many people have had it, or will have it, and never notice.  I wouldn’t have.  Its a fluke that I got tested.

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I’ve always liked Roger Ebert, but I just read something he posted on his online journal that has made me admire and respect him:  Hunt Not the Snark but the Snarker

In this condemnation of the lazy art of snarking, here is a jewel of a quote:  "You can win listeners by writing something worth reading, but you can win them more easily by snarking."

I rarely post something on GroovyMojo.com that merely points to something else, but this is a message that I strongly believe needs to be spread.  Criticizing something that needs to be criticized is one thing,  but snarking simply because it’s funny to tear something down without trying to also make an improvement, that’s not good.  And in the blogosphere it’s become the norm.  It’s also the main reason I stopped reading the otherwise interesting i09.com Sci-Fi blog.  90% snark vs. 10% useful information just doesn’t digest well for me.

This is a challenge I put out to the whole Internet:  Dare to be positive.  If you’re snarking just because everyone else is, because you think that’s the only way to be cool, then you’re just a fucking sheep plodding with the flock.

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image According to Reuters, the CDC announced today that there’s been an outbreak of Salmonella food poisoning, affecting 388 people across 42 states.  Sounds scary.  But…

There are about 300,000,000 people in the United States.

Three hundred million people, and 388 of them get sick.

Odds that it will affect you?  Roughly 1 in 773195.

Plus, only 18 percent of them (70 people) ended up being so sick they had to go to the hospital.  That puts the odds of you being sick enough to be hospitalized to 1 in 4,285,714.  On top of that, this didn’t just happen … the outbreak began in September, so it’s not like 70 people all ended up in the hospital today.  Seventy people over the last four months.  That puts your odds of being affected by this on any given day to somewhere in the neighborhood of 1 in five-hundred-million.

Always keep these numbers in mind when the news media announces these brash, fear-mongering reports.

Anyone remember the Bird Flu?  Are you dead from it yet?  No?

Right.

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image The population estimates from the US Census Bureau (www.census.gov):

299,398,485 people, of which
147,434,940 are male
151,963,545 are female
225,633,342 are over 18 years old, and
6,112,646 are 65 years old and over

Keep these figures in mind, especially when watching a panicky news broadcast about things like a mosquito-born virus which has made 126 people sick.

299,398,485 people the USA, and 126 people get sick. You do the math. The chances of it affecting you — even in the 65 and older population — would be so close to zero that it might as well be zero.

Please, always keep in mind, that the news media wants to scare you.  Why?  It keeps your attention and helps them sell more advertising.

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So a bridge collapses in Minneapolis, and now CNN is reporting that America’s entire infrastructure is on the verge of destruction and we’re all going to die. So now — according to the news media — all bridges, water plants, piping under the cities, buildings we live and work in — everything — is suddenly a big ticking time bomb.

Yes, bridges need to be inspected. Yes, things should be looked at and repaired. But the news media has seized on this and is trying its best to make you panic.

Why? For your safety? Are they using fear mongering to help you, the viewer? To call attention to what needs to be done?

No. They’re doing it so they can keep you glued to your television, so they can sell more advertising.

Even if one bridge collapses every year and kills a hundred people, the odds of you ever being involved is about one in three-hundred-million. That’s the same odds as you winning a million dollar jackpot in a Lotto drawing.

Don’t panic, my friends. Let’s mourn the loss of life and do what is necessary to keep it from happening again, but at the same time, let’s look at it as it really is: a sad but very unlikely event. Given enough time, the unlikely does happen.

But the unlikely is nothing to fear, otherwise you may as well never leave your home.

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A while ago, a man in the medical field told one of my friends, “Say goodbye to most of the people you know. This bird flu is going to kill a lot of them off.” Needless to say, this struck fear in her heart and gave her some sleepless nights.

Let’s put this Bird Flu into perspective. According to the CDC it’s very hard to catch this flu. It doesn’t spread easily from human to human. The CDC only knows of a few cases — one example was a mother and an infant. You have to be that close for it to spread.

Also, according to Reuters, the reported deaths from Bird Flu in Southeast Asia stands at around 60 people.

I checked the CIA World Factbook for population statistics. There are an estimated 1,646,803,377 people in Southeast Asia. That’s over one point six BILLION.

Sixty out of 1.6 BILLION people. According to my Excel spreadsheet, that gives you odds of about 1 in 27,000,000 of dying from the Bird Flu.

Those are lotto odds, people. Even if it were 1000 people, or 10,000 people, it would still be lotto odds.

Don’t worry about the Bird Flu. Worry about eating healthy and wearing your safety belt while driving.

The most dangerious thing we do every day is drive a car. No one seems to be in a blind panic about that, do they?

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I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past, I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.

- Frank Herbert, Dune

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